Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.018668 0.023701 0.030470 0.040598 0.056056 0.080101 0.123581
2024-12-22 0.013152 0.018438 0.026717 0.041773 0.071692 0.138709 0.352800
2024-12-29 0.010391 0.015448 0.024146 0.042178 0.085884 0.221550 1.094868
2025-01-05 0.008399 0.012940 0.021224 0.039947 0.092311 0.305722 3.554278
2025-01-12 0.007153 0.011348 0.019384 0.038967 0.101541 0.442881 27.508352
2025-01-19 0.006538 0.010723 0.019205 0.041843 0.127871 0.867721 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006174 0.010474 0.019718 0.046959 0.174375 2.437090 NaN
2025-02-02 0.005853 0.010233 0.020165 0.052336 0.239890 11.347238 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005357 0.009530 0.019296 0.052816 0.279359 58.437576 NaN
2025-02-16 0.004946 0.008940 0.018560 0.053434 0.327301 7571.652476 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004577 0.008383 0.017776 0.053472 0.375651 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004147 0.007632 0.016309 0.049869 0.369669 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003807 0.007093 0.015468 0.049413 0.425884 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003556 0.006732 0.015072 0.051023 0.547422 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003314 0.006352 0.014522 0.051560 0.675040 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003031 0.005836 0.013448 0.048623 0.690522 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002816 0.005460 0.012733 0.047338 0.766070 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002718 0.005357 0.012849 0.051119 1.180198 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002667 0.005363 0.013324 0.057914 2.365503 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002612 0.005350 0.013739 0.065149 5.618273 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002483 0.005126 0.013351 0.065800 8.693918 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002368 0.004925 0.013008 0.066639 14.808884 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002256 0.004720 0.012609 0.066689 25.262799 NaN NaN